Market Assessment – Small Scale LNG Production

A major client from the small-sector LNG (ssLNG) sector contacted Stellarix for a comprehensive market assessment study to understand the scope and current state of the market. The actionable intelligence from our energy experts enabled the client to align its offerings with evolving regulatory frameworks, sustainability demands, and changing dynamics of the low-carbon energy market.

Client Background:

Our client is a major LNG player looking to venture into the small-scale LNG business; therefore, we needed to assess the entire small-scale LNG universe

Engagement Objective:

To conduct a market assessment study to understand the scope of development in the small-scale natural liquefaction industry and the current market of the small-scale liquefaction plant across the globe. The study’s focus essentially covered the market aspects of small-scale LNG plants having a capacity of less than 0.3 million tons per year or <0.513 million gallons per day.

The key points addressed as part of the study were:

• What is the current scope of developing small-scale LNG plants across the globe (market drivers & critical success factors)? How will the small-scale LNG market behave in the coming five years in terms of plant numbers, storage capacity, LNG demand, etc.?
• Who are the suppliers of the small-scale LNG plant? And how is their coverage in the domain around the globe?
• What is the market status of renewable natural gas/ biogas liquefaction? How important is decarbonization for small-scale LNG?
• What will be the impact of environmental regulations & transition to low/zero carbon fuel on the LNG liquefaction market demand?

Methodology:

• Identification of market drivers of small-scale liquefaction
• Regional market segmentation by reported/potential end applications
• Identification of ssLNG buyers willing to expand the current portfolio, LNG requirement, and end use application
• Listing of  ssLNG projects since 2017 and shortlisting & assessment of top 5 projects
• Identification of upcoming RNG liquefaction projects (till 2027)
• Determination of typical RNG plant size by buyer preference

Client Impact:

• The study has enabled the client to identify high-growth regions and end-use segments for small-scale LNG, supporting targeted market entry and expansion strategies. It has helped uncover prospective buyers and aging infrastructure replacement opportunities, improving business development focus. Also, the Competitive Benchmarking provided clarity on key liquefaction players, aiding supplier selection
• Additionally, the assessment of RNG trends and decarbonization impacts has equipped the client to anticipate future risks, adapt offerings, and align with evolving regulatory and sustainability demands, ultimately strengthening their strategic positioning in the low-carbon energy market

Outcome Snapshot:

Ready to explore high-growth opportunities in the small-scale LNG market?
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